The article explores the rising significance and enduring momentum of community-based independents in Australian politics, providing insights into their impact and future potential. The author, a long-time supporter of independents and an adviser to Climate 200, explains how dissatisfaction with the two-party system has spurred the growth of these candidates.
The combined primary vote for Labor and the Coalition has plummeted from 96% in 1949 to 68% in 2022, reflecting widespread voter disillusionment with the major parties’ perceived detachment from constituents, internal tribalism, and focus on career advancement over community needs.
Community independents have emerged through grassroots efforts, with local groups organising meetings, identifying candidates, and mobilising volunteers. This process underscores their commitment to community representation. Their achievements include advocacy for climate policies, campaign finance reform, gambling advertising restrictions, and the establishment of a National Anti-Corruption Commission, despite some criticisms of its current implementation.
Notable developments in the independents’ movement include Liberal MP Paul Fletcher’s decision not to contest Bradfield, which he previously held as a safe seat. Nicolette Boele, an independent who gained a 12% swing in the last election, has been instrumental in challenging his position. Fletcher’s exit aligns with broader concerns about the Liberal Party’s future as it grapples with internal shifts, particularly under the leadership of Peter Dutton. Dutton’s divisive and negative campaigning approach may influence the party’s electoral prospects, though it faces challenges from both community independents and other parties.
The article highlights the ongoing growth of the independents’ movement, with groups active in 51 electorates and candidates emerging in key seats such as Cowper, Casey, and McPherson. Independents are also contesting Labor strongholds, broadening their reach across the political spectrum. At Cathy McGowan’s recent conference, attended by 1,000 people from over 120 electorates, the vibrancy and breadth of the movement were evident.
While Dutton anticipates a potential swing towards the Coalition, securing minority government may hinge on the quality of candidates and campaign dynamics. Independent MPs, meanwhile, face competitive re-election battles but have consolidated their positions within their communities. New independents are also gaining traction in promising electorates, reflecting their continuing relevance and capacity to reshape Australia’s political landscape.
The article concludes that community independents have significantly improved political discourse in Australia by championing accountability, community-focused policies, and democratic representation, ensuring they remain a vital force in future elections.